Jon Atwood, PhD
Department of Environmental Studies
Based on the potential for wolf recovery in the Northeast, I developed a methodology to assess the effects of gray wolf restoration on ungulate and other predator species in the potential wolf core habitat of Maine. I used stochastic predator-prey model, STELLA that simulated the probable consequences of wolf recovery. This type of modeling is useful in demonstrating the ranges of possible outcomes, but is not intended to predict exact consequences. The multiple simulations indicate that wolf recovery will not result in a dramatic loss of deer density, and the wolf populations will reduce coyote numbers. Success of wolf recovery will depend in large part on the number of wolves released into a recovery area.